thanks for you comment. You are right on both counts. And the challenge is that the information flow is not what it should be. Ideally we would have access to SINAVE and SISVEFLU data, this should be analyzed by social scientists, not just the officials in the health system. And the challenge of the cases we may be missing is indeed a huge question mark. Most transmission in Wuhan we now know may have been asymptomatic (a paper based on modeling suspects around 74%)